Posted by admin on September 7, 2009 in Financing with No Comments
Balancing Inflation and Growth Part 7 of 13
At the same time, I am fully aware that the FOMC must be careful to not undermine that recuperative process. Here, of course, I refer to the potential harm to the consumer and the business and future trading software financial sectors alike by unwittingly allowing the perception to take hold that, as the New York Times editorialized in its lead front page article last Thursday, the Federal Reserve, signaled its readiness to bolster the economy with cheaper money even though inflation is picking up speed.
Talk of cheap money makes my skin crawl. The words imply a debased currency and inflation and the harsh medicine that inevitably must be administered to purge it. So you should not be surprised that I consider the perception that the Fed is pursuing a cheap-money strategy and commodity trading education, should it take root, to be a paramount risk to the long-term welfare of the U.S. economy.
I believe the Times overstates its case. Chairman Bernanke made clear in his congressional testimony last week that we are monitoring inflationary pressures and expectations closely. And yet, I understand the source of the Times sentiment. In a globalized capital market where money is free to move anywhere it pleases, there is scant tolerance for even the slightest whiff of inflation. Since the January FOMC meeting, longer-term rates, including those on fixed mortgages, have risen rather than followed the federal funds rate downward.
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- Balancing Inflation and Growth Part 10 of 13
Balancing Inflation and Growth Part 10 of 13
There was a time, back when I was an outside observer of the Federal Reserve, when commodity future option trading the Fed practiced what some have dubbed opportunistic disinflation. Beginning in the mid-1980s, the FOMC recognized that while recessions sometimes occur, they could not be...
- Balancing Inflation and Growth Part 12 of 13
Balancing Inflation and Growth Part 12 of 13
As a result, trade in services is one of the most rapidly growing components of global trade. Thus, even the available supply of architects or petroleum engineers or software designers or medical technicians or lawyers or commodity trading broker must increasingly be considered in the...
- Balancing Inflation and Growth Part 9 of 13
Balancing Inflation and Growth Part 9 of 13
Recent readings on inflation have not been encouraging. The rate of increase in the core personal consumption expenditures price index, or core PCE that is, what people buy, except food and energy was 2.2 percent over the 12 months ending in January. Yet, its headline...
- Balancing Inflation and Growth Part 6 of 13
Balancing Inflation and Growth Part 6 of 13
The woes of financial operators should not be overlooked, of course. There is a palpable risk that their pathology will lead to credit constriction that will, in turn, trigger an economic contraction. But thus far, the Cassandras on Wall Street, in the press and on...
- Balancing Inflation and Growth Part 4 of 13
Balancing Inflation and Growth Part 4 of 13
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- Balancing Inflation and Growth Part 13 of 13
Balancing Inflation and Growth Part 13 of 13
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Balancing Inflation and Growth Part 8 of 13
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Balancing Inflation and Growth Part 1 of 13
It is an honor to speak here in London to the Society of Business Economists at the suggestion of my much-admired friend, Charlie Bean at the Bank of England. Charlie is on the advisory board of the Dallas Feds Globalization and Monetary Policy Institute, and...
- Balancing Inflation and Growth Part 2 of 13
Balancing Inflation and Growth Part 2 of 13
When I finished, Alan looked down the table and said, President Fisher, was that Henry V? Yes, Mr. Chairman, I replied. I know Ive reached retirement age, said the ancient chairman. I went to high school with that guy.
Would that we could today enjoy commodity...